electionsmcp › races › Kentucky State House District 38
Kentucky State House District 38
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Kentucky actually voted.
Model Kentucky State House District 38 →
Current officeholder
Rachel Roarx Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
33 precincts reported in Kentucky State House District 38's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21111-J171 | Democratic | D+9.6 | 1,018 |
| 21111-J159 | Republican | R+13.4 | 1,000 |
| 21111-J150 | Democratic | D+2.1 | 870 |
| 21111-J156 | Republican | R+1.6 | 862 |
| 21111-J169 | Democratic | D+22.5 | 854 |
| 21111-J108 | Democratic | D+24.9 | 815 |
| 21111-J174 | Democratic | D+33.3 | 801 |
| 21111-J135 | Republican | R+8.8 | 774 |
| 21111-J113 | Democratic | D+14.6 | 754 |
| 21111-J170 | Republican | R+7.3 | 751 |
| 21111-J145 | Republican | R+30.1 | 727 |
| 21111-J157 | Republican | R+2.6 | 725 |
| 21111-J165 | Democratic | D+20.1 | 683 |
| 21111-J120 | Democratic | D+0.3 | 646 |
| 21111-J158 | Republican | R+15.0 | 595 |
| 21111-J137 | Republican | R+25.6 | 583 |
| 21111-J119 | Democratic | D+2.9 | 556 |
| 21111-J152 | Republican | R+37.5 | 493 |
| 21111-J111 | Democratic | D+30.3 | 468 |
| 21111-J105 | Democratic | D+25.7 | 404 |
All 33 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Kentucky State House District 38 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Kentucky State House District 38 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Kentucky State House District 38 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Kentucky State House District 38?
Rachel Roarx (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Kentucky State House District 38?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.