electionsmcp › races › Kentucky State House District 15
Kentucky State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Kentucky actually voted.
Model Kentucky State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Rebecca Raymer Republican
2024 result
Republican R+100.0
2024 votes cast
15,707
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
30 precincts reported in Kentucky State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21031-B102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,235 |
| 21031-C103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,187 |
| 21031-E105 | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,153 |
| 21031-D104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 982 |
| 21177-D103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 786 |
| 21177-C101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 776 |
| 21177-D101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 762 |
| 21177-B104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 717 |
| 21177-E103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 702 |
| 21031-A101 | Republican | R+100.0 | 611 |
| 21177-C106 | Republican | R+100.0 | 611 |
| 21177-C104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 585 |
| 21177-E105 | Republican | R+100.0 | 505 |
| 21177-B102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 480 |
| 21177-B103 | Republican | R+100.0 | 454 |
| 21177-E104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 420 |
| 21177-A106 | Republican | R+100.0 | 407 |
| 21177-D104 | Republican | R+100.0 | 377 |
| 21177-D102 | Republican | R+100.0 | 356 |
| 21177-A107 | Republican | R+100.0 | 331 |
All 30 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Kentucky State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Kentucky State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Kentucky State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Kentucky State House District 15?
Rebecca Raymer (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Kentucky State House District 15?
R+100.0 — 0 Democratic, 15,707 Republican, of 15,707 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.