electionsmcp › races › Arkansas State House District 12
Arkansas State House District 12
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arkansas actually voted.
Model Arkansas State House District 12 →
Current officeholder
Hope Duke Republican
2024 result
Republican R+45.6
2024 votes cast
17,648
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
53 precincts reported in Arkansas State House District 12's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05007-PRECINCT 8 | Republican | R+45.8 | 1,734 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 58 | Republican | R+28.9 | 1,683 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 15 | Republican | R+36.1 | 1,599 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 11 | Republican | R+35.1 | 1,551 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 51 | Republican | R+46.5 | 1,313 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 9 | Republican | R+44.6 | 1,086 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 16 | Republican | R+35.2 | 985 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 12 | Republican | R+23.7 | 978 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 1 | Republican | R+75.2 | 832 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 10 | Republican | R+42.1 | 777 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 14 | Republican | R+33.4 | 751 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 85 | Republican | R+70.7 | 601 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 84 | Republican | R+56.4 | 440 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 48 | Republican | R+59.4 | 424 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 2 | Republican | R+59.9 | 309 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 49 | Republican | R+72.5 | 276 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 200 | Republican | R+50.3 | 185 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 129 | Republican | R+66.1 | 177 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 89 | Republican | R+71.2 | 146 |
| 05007-PRECINCT 87 | Republican | R+78.6 | 131 |
All 53 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arkansas State House District 12 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arkansas State House District 12 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arkansas State House District 12 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arkansas State House District 12?
Hope Duke (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arkansas State House District 12?
R+45.6 — 4,804 Democratic, 12,844 Republican, of 17,648 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.