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Ohio's 15th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Ohio actually voted.
Model Ohio's 15th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Mike Carey Republican
2024 result
Republican R+16.5
2024 votes cast
389,491
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 785,694 people, median age 37.2, median household income $76,350.
Population
785,694
Median age
37.2
Median household income
$76,350
Bachelor's degree or higher
32.8%
Race & ethnicity: White 73.5% · Black 11.4% · Hispanic 6.2% · Asian 4.1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
422 precincts reported in Ohio's 15th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39049-Miami | Republican | R+46.8 | 46,471 |
| 39049-Clark | Republican | R+49.3 | 28,137 |
| 39049-Madison | Republican | R+48.5 | 19,598 |
| 39049-Shelby | Republican | R+60.6 | 14,581 |
| 39049-Fayette | Republican | R+58.4 | 11,204 |
| 39049-GROVE CITY 1-A | Republican | R+5.9 | 1,520 |
| 39049-COLUMBUS 69-A | Democratic | D+14.2 | 1,480 |
| 39049-CANAL WINCHESTER-B | Republican | R+5.7 | 1,340 |
| 39049-DUBLIN 3-B | Democratic | D+3.9 | 1,319 |
| 39049-HILLIARD 2-E | Democratic | D+19.0 | 1,187 |
| 39049-HILLIARD 4-C | Democratic | D+6.1 | 1,163 |
| 39049-OBETZ-B | Republican | R+0.9 | 1,160 |
| 39049-COLUMBUS 77-D | Democratic | D+14.8 | 1,158 |
| 39049-DUBLIN 2-E | Republican | R+6.0 | 1,157 |
| 39049-HILLIARD 5-A | Democratic | D+11.9 | 1,149 |
| 39049-DUBLIN 3-A | Republican | R+9.9 | 1,146 |
| 39049-GROVE CITY 4-F | Republican | R+18.5 | 1,134 |
| 39049-HILLIARD 5-C | Republican | R+2.0 | 1,131 |
| 39049-HILLIARD 2-D | Democratic | D+12.4 | 1,112 |
| 39049-COLUMBUS 86-A | Democratic | D+50.0 | 1,085 |
All 422 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Ohio's 15th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Ohio's 15th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Ohio's 15th Congressional District in the simulator →