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Ohio's 10th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Ohio actually voted.
Model Ohio's 10th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Michael R. Turner Republican
2024 result
Republican R+13.2
2024 votes cast
248,742
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Michael R. Turner's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
8.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 784,850 people, median age 38.8, median household income $66,752.
Population
784,850
Median age
38.8
Median household income
$66,752
Bachelor's degree or higher
31.5%
Race & ethnicity: White 72% · Black 16.6% · Hispanic 3.9% · Asian 2.2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
571 precincts reported in Ohio's 10th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39057-FAIRBORN 226 | Republican | R+23.1 | 2,050 |
| 39057-SUGARCREEK 151 | Republican | R+34.4 | 1,774 |
| 39057-SUGARCREEK 156 | Republican | R+41.6 | 1,740 |
| 39057-BEAVERCREEK 093 | Republican | R+42.1 | 1,461 |
| 39057-BEAVERCREEK 092 | Republican | R+35.9 | 1,399 |
| 39057-BEAVERCREEK 094 | Republican | R+40.4 | 1,343 |
| 39057-BEAVERCREEK 039 | Republican | R+12.6 | 1,219 |
| 39057-FAIRBORN 205 | Republican | R+32.2 | 1,118 |
| 39057-BEAVERCREEK 002 | Republican | R+7.1 | 1,115 |
| 39057-BEAVERCREEK 022 | Republican | R+14.2 | 1,114 |
| 39057-FAIRBORN 224 | Democratic | D+0.8 | 1,103 |
| 39113-WASHINGTON TWP Y | Republican | R+22.0 | 1,073 |
| 39113-MIAMISBURG 4-D | Republican | R+43.4 | 1,068 |
| 39113-CENTERVILLE-I | Republican | R+38.0 | 1,058 |
| 39113-CENTERVILLE-O | Republican | R+25.0 | 1,055 |
| 39113-WASHINGTON TWP B | Republican | R+30.9 | 1,054 |
| 39057-BELLBROOK 101 | Republican | R+35.4 | 1,047 |
| 39023-PRECINCT CITY 22 | Republican | R+30.1 | 1,043 |
| 39023-PRECINCT CITY 23 | Republican | R+19.2 | 1,038 |
| 39057-BEAVERCREEK 011 | Republican | R+17.4 | 1,026 |
All 571 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Ohio's 10th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Ohio's 10th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Ohio's 10th Congressional District in the simulator →