electionsmcp › races › Tennessee State Senate District 30
Tennessee State Senate District 30
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Tennessee actually voted.
Model Tennessee State Senate District 30 →
Current officeholder
Sara Kyle Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+79.5
2024 votes cast
50,602
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
30 precincts reported in Tennessee State Senate District 30's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47157-01-10 | Democratic | D+68.8 | 3,813 |
| 47157-05-03 | Democratic | D+75.4 | 3,422 |
| 47157-05-09 | Democratic | D+72.0 | 3,252 |
| 47157-05-05 | Democratic | D+81.7 | 2,891 |
| 47157-05-07 | Democratic | D+71.6 | 2,675 |
| 47157-07-08 | Democratic | D+88.6 | 2,349 |
| 47157-05-06 | Democratic | D+81.7 | 2,234 |
| 47157-07-06 | Democratic | D+91.4 | 2,184 |
| 47157-05-02 | Democratic | D+70.8 | 1,993 |
| 47157-05-04 | Democratic | D+72.9 | 1,979 |
| 47157-06-05 | Democratic | D+89.7 | 1,937 |
| 47157-01-11 | Democratic | D+75.2 | 1,819 |
| 47157-06-09 | Democratic | D+82.4 | 1,588 |
| 47157-07-09 | Democratic | D+85.7 | 1,485 |
| 47157-07-04 | Democratic | D+88.8 | 1,404 |
| 47157-07-03 | Democratic | D+87.7 | 1,385 |
| 47157-08-01 | Democratic | D+88.3 | 1,370 |
| 47157-08-09 | Democratic | D+90.9 | 1,367 |
| 47157-04-04 | Democratic | D+67.2 | 1,325 |
| 47157-08-04 | Democratic | D+90.7 | 1,275 |
All 30 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Tennessee State Senate District 30 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Tennessee State Senate District 30 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Tennessee State Senate District 30 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Tennessee State Senate District 30?
Sara Kyle (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Tennessee State Senate District 30?
D+79.5 — 40,232 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 50,602 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.