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Connecticut State Senate District 16

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Connecticut actually voted.

Model Connecticut State Senate District 16 →

Connecticut State Senate District 16 — highlighted within Connecticut's State Senate districts · 2024: R+13.2 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Rob Sampson Republican

2024 result

Republican R+13.2

2024 votes cast

52,690

Office

State Senate

Precinct results — 2024 general

21 precincts reported in Connecticut State Senate District 16's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
09003-DISTRICT 2-Derynoski School Republican R+3.9 3,649
09009-DISTRICT 2-Wolcott High School Republican R+45.7 3,449
09003-DISTRICT 4-Kennedy School Republican R+8.9 3,432
09003-DISTRICT 1-South End School Republican R+11.1 3,418
09003-DISTRICT 3-Oshana School Democratic D+0.4 3,234
09009-DISTRICT 2-Community Center Republican R+29.1 3,082
09009-DISTRICT 1-Tyrrell Middle School Republican R+32.8 2,945
09009-DISTRICT 3-Wakelee Republican R+38.4 2,940
09003-DISTRICT 8-Depaolo Middle School Republican R+10.7 2,822
09009-DISTRICT 74-2-Crosby High School Democratic D+12.6 2,807
09009-DISTRICT 1-Prospect Firehouse Republican R+40.7 2,732
09003-DISTRICT 9-Hatton School Republican R+11.0 2,703
09009-DISTRICT 74-1-Chase School Democratic D+16.0 2,304
09003-DISTRICT 5-Strong School Republican R+10.7 2,206
09003-DISTRICT 7-Thalberg School Republican R+10.4 2,180
09003-DISTRICT 6-Kelley School Republican R+17.2 2,146
09009-DISTRICT 74-3-I D L School 16th Senate District Democratic D+11.8 1,964
09009-DISTRICT 3-1-Chesprocott - District 3-1 Republican R+9.0 1,584
09009-DISTRICT 3-2-Chesprocott - District 3-2 Democratic D+5.1 1,503
09009-DISTRICT 2-Chapman School - Dist. 2 Democratic D+1.7 1,440

All 21 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

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Model Connecticut State Senate District 16 in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Connecticut State Senate District 16 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Connecticut State Senate District 16 in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Connecticut State Senate District 16?
Rob Sampson (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Connecticut State Senate District 16?
R+13.2 — 22,877 Democratic, 29,813 Republican, of 52,690 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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