electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › Connecticut's 5th Congressional District

Connecticut's 5th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Connecticut actually voted.

Model Connecticut's 5th Congressional District →

Connecticut's 5th Congressional District — highlighted within Connecticut's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+6.8 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Jahana Hayes Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+6.8

2024 votes cast

337,605

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Jahana Hayes's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#324 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

3.3estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 722,496 people, median age 42, median household income $88,995.

Population

722,496

Median age

42

Median household income

$88,995

Bachelor's degree or higher

38.6%

Race & ethnicity: White 61.7% · Black 8.7% · Hispanic 21% · Asian 4.1%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

153 precincts reported in Connecticut's 5th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
09003-DISTRICT 1-Canton High School Democratic D+13.1 6,593
09005-DISTRICT 1-Senior/ Community Center Republican R+2.8 6,371
09005-DISTRICT 1-Terryville High School Republican R+24.0 6,337
09001-DISTRICT 2-6-Newtown High School Democratic D+6.4 5,744
09003-DISTRICT 1-Town Hall Republican R+7.3 5,725
09001-DISTRICT 3-6-Reed Intermediate School Democratic D+4.1 5,623
09009-DISTRICT 1-Center Fire House District #1 Democratic D+1.5 5,516
09009-DISTRICT 2-Calvary Southbury District #2 Republican R+1.7 5,264
09005-DISTRICT 6-Armory Republican R+4.1 5,036
09003-DISTRICT 1-Avon High School - Gymnasium Democratic D+19.3 4,986
09003-DISTRICT 2-Latimer Lane School Democratic D+27.6 4,971
09005-DISTRICT 1-Town Hall Democratic D+28.1 4,815
09001-DISTRICT 1-New Fairfield High School Republican R+11.3 4,753
09003-DISTRICT 1-Henry James Memorial School Democratic D+22.2 4,604
09001-DISTRICT 3-Frank A Berry School - 3 Democratic D+7.3 4,443
09001-DISTRICT 1-6-Newtown Middle School Democratic D+12.8 4,400
09005-DISTRICT 1-Lena Morton Art Gallery Republican R+33.4 4,359
09001-DISTRICT 3-9-Stadley Rough School Gym District 003-08 Democratic D+7.9 4,297
09001-DISTRICT 2-Brookfield High School NG Republican R+2.3 4,293
09009-DISTRICT 1-Cheshire High School - Dist. 1 Democratic D+12.7 4,254

All 153 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Connecticut's 5th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Connecticut's 5th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Connecticut's 5th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Connecticut's 5th Congressional District?
Jahana Hayes (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Connecticut's 5th Congressional District?
D+6.8 — 180,268 Democratic, 157,258 Republican, of 337,605 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Connecticut's 5th Congressional District?
Connecticut's 5th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 3.3 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 324 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

More races in Connecticut

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →