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Connecticut's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Connecticut actually voted.

Model Connecticut's 4th Congressional District →

Connecticut's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within Connecticut's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+23.7 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

James A. Himes Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+23.7

2024 votes cast

328,857

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for James A. Himes's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#339 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

3.0estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 722,755 people, median age 40.4, median household income $115,865.

Population

722,755

Median age

40.4

Median household income

$115,865

Bachelor's degree or higher

53.6%

Race & ethnicity: White 56.5% · Black 11.6% · Hispanic 22.4% · Asian 6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

139 precincts reported in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
09009-DISTRICT 1-Quaker Farms School Republican R+20.1 8,267
09001-DISTRICT 1-New Canaan High School Democratic D+4.4 7,462
09001-DISTRICT 1-Weston Middle School Democratic D+37.0 6,173
09001-DISTRICT 1-Redding Community Center Democratic D+27.7 5,595
09001-DISTRICT 2-Scotts Ridge Middle School - 2 Democratic D+20.6 5,530
09001-DISTRICT 21-Scofield Middle School Democratic D+21.6 4,703
09001-DISTRICT 142-2-Ponus Ridge Middle School Democratic D+26.3 4,548
09001-DISTRICT 1-East Ridge Middle School - 1 Democratic D+26.7 4,326
09001-DISTRICT 4-Mohegan School Republican R+14.6 4,297
09001-DISTRICT 3-Yanity Gym - 3 Democratic D+24.6 4,262
09001-DISTRICT 143-3-West Rocks Middle School Democratic D+20.8 4,179
09001-DISTRICT 137-1-Marvin School Democratic D+28.0 4,118
09001-DISTRICT 133-4-Stratfield Elementary Democratic D+38.5 3,968
09001-DISTRICT 142-1-Fox Run School Democratic D+24.6 3,968
09001-DISTRICT 132-10-Senior Center Democratic D+28.8 3,938
09001-DISTRICT 2-Cider Mill School - District 2 Democratic D+23.1 3,922
09001-DISTRICT 8-Central Middle School Democratic D+14.8 3,853
09001-DISTRICT 136-3-Long Lots Elementary School Democratic D+36.6 3,829
09001-DISTRICT 1-Fawn Hollow School Democratic D+2.3 3,758
09001-DISTRICT 4-Masuk High School Republican R+7.6 3,743

All 139 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Connecticut's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Connecticut's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Connecticut's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Connecticut's 4th Congressional District?
James A. Himes (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District?
D+23.7 — 200,791 Democratic, 122,793 Republican, of 328,857 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Connecticut's 4th Congressional District?
Connecticut's 4th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 3.0 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 339 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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