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Connecticut State Senate District 15

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Connecticut actually voted.

Model Connecticut State Senate District 15 →

Connecticut State Senate District 15 — highlighted within Connecticut's State Senate districts · 2024: D+100.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Joan V. Hartley Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+100.0

2024 votes cast

20,972

Office

State Senate

Precinct results — 2024 general

23 precincts reported in Connecticut State Senate District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
09009-DISTRICT 3-2-City Hill Middle School Democratic D+100.0 1,794
09009-DISTRICT 71-3-Tinker School Democratic D+100.0 1,780
09009-DISTRICT 73-1-Our Lady Of Loreto Church Hall Democratic D+100.0 1,764
09009-DISTRICT 73-3-Kingsbury School Democratic D+100.0 1,435
09009-DISTRICT 73-2-Catholic Academy Of Waterbury Democratic D+100.0 1,427
09009-DISTRICT 72-4-Regan School Democratic D+100.0 1,355
09009-DISTRICT 71-1-Kennedy High School Democratic D+100.0 1,203
09009-DISTRICT 3-1-Parks And Rec A Democratic D+100.0 1,134
09009-DISTRICT 72-2-Reed School Democratic D+100.0 1,056
09009-DISTRICT 75-4-Saint Francis Xavier Church Hall Democratic D+100.0 1,041
09009-DISTRICT 75-3-Maloney School Democratic D+100.0 987
09009-DISTRICT 73-4-Sprague School Democratic D+100.0 891
09009-DISTRICT 2-Shepardson Community Center 002 Democratic D+100.0 793
09009-DISTRICT 72-5-Edward D Bergin Apartments Democratic D+100.0 754
09009-DISTRICT 71-2-Gilmartin School Democratic D+100.0 625
09009-DISTRICT 72-1-Hopkins Street Rec Building Democratic D+100.0 617
09009-DISTRICT 75-1-Willow Plaza Community Center Democratic D+100.0 530
09009-DISTRICT 89-1-Wendell Cross School 3rd Cong Democratic D+100.0 504
09009-DISTRICT 68-1-Carrington School Democratic D+100.0 423
09009-DISTRICT 75-2-Washington Park House Democratic D+100.0 423

All 23 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

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Model Connecticut State Senate District 15 in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Connecticut State Senate District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Connecticut State Senate District 15 in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Connecticut State Senate District 15?
Joan V. Hartley (Democratic) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Connecticut State Senate District 15?
D+100.0 — 20,972 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 20,972 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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