electionsmcp › races › Oregon State House District 54
Oregon State House District 54
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Oregon actually voted.
Model Oregon State House District 54 →
Current officeholder
Jason Kropf Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+96.5
2024 votes cast
29,435
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
14 precincts reported in Oregon State House District 54's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41017-03 | Democratic | D+98.1 | 3,063 |
| 41017-05 | Democratic | D+96.0 | 2,990 |
| 41017-25 | Democratic | D+96.7 | 2,790 |
| 41017-46 | Democratic | D+96.4 | 2,520 |
| 41017-04 | Democratic | D+97.1 | 2,291 |
| 41017-33 | Democratic | D+95.2 | 2,271 |
| 41017-02 | Democratic | D+95.2 | 2,088 |
| 41017-34 | Democratic | D+95.2 | 2,066 |
| 41017-44 | Democratic | D+94.8 | 2,020 |
| 41017-47 | Democratic | D+97.7 | 1,975 |
| 41017-27 | Democratic | D+98.3 | 1,838 |
| 41017-32 | Democratic | D+96.6 | 1,649 |
| 41017-09 | Democratic | D+96.2 | 1,328 |
| 41017-08 | Democratic | D+96.9 | 546 |
All 14 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Oregon State House District 54 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Oregon State House District 54 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Oregon State House District 54 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Oregon State House District 54?
Jason Kropf (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Oregon State House District 54?
D+96.5 — 28,395 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 29,435 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.