electionsmcp › races › Oregon State House District 30
Oregon State House District 30
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Oregon actually voted.
Model Oregon State House District 30 →
Current officeholder
Nathan Sosa Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+65.1
2024 votes cast
31,102
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
14 precincts reported in Oregon State House District 30's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41067-Precinct 329 | Democratic | D+67.0 | 7,692 |
| 41067-Precinct 307 | Democratic | D+60.8 | 4,494 |
| 41067-Precinct 309 | Democratic | D+64.1 | 4,308 |
| 41067-Precinct 333 | Democratic | D+71.7 | 3,626 |
| 41067-Precinct 343 | Democratic | D+61.3 | 2,608 |
| 41067-Precinct 332 | Democratic | D+72.9 | 2,550 |
| 41067-Precinct 370 | Democratic | D+62.8 | 2,096 |
| 41067-Precinct 369 | Democratic | D+62.6 | 1,660 |
| 41067-Precinct 451 | Democratic | D+67.0 | 1,066 |
| 41067-Precinct 315 | Democratic | D+44.6 | 493 |
| 41067-Precinct 373 | Democratic | D+50.3 | 328 |
| 41067-Precinct 317 | Democratic | D+49.1 | 169 |
| 41067-Precinct 374 | Democratic | D+66.7 | 9 |
| 41067-Precinct 313 | Democratic | D+33.3 | 3 |
All 14 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Oregon State House District 30 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Oregon State House District 30 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Oregon State House District 30 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Oregon State House District 30?
Nathan Sosa (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Oregon State House District 30?
D+65.1 — 20,254 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 31,102 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.