electionsmcp › races › New Mexico State House District 15
New Mexico State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New Mexico actually voted.
Model New Mexico State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Dayan Hochman-Vigil Democratic
2024 result
being added
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
34 precincts reported in New Mexico State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35001-PCT 194 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 528 |
| 35001-PCT 009 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 471 |
| 35001-PCT 018 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 453 |
| 35001-PCT 013 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 447 |
| 35001-PCT 014 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 437 |
| 35001-PCT 277 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 432 |
| 35001-PCT 004 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 400 |
| 35001-PCT 011 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 399 |
| 35001-PCT 017 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 382 |
| 35001-PCT 219 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 352 |
| 35001-PCT 007 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 348 |
| 35001-PCT 005 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 323 |
| 35001-PCT 218 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 321 |
| 35001-PCT 581 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 308 |
| 35001-PCT 182 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 304 |
| 35001-PCT 455 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 304 |
| 35001-PCT 192 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 296 |
| 35001-PCT 012 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 295 |
| 35001-PCT 015 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 269 |
| 35001-PCT 668 | Democratic | D+100.0 | 259 |
All 34 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model New Mexico State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New Mexico State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open New Mexico State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents New Mexico State House District 15?
Dayan Hochman-Vigil (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New Mexico State House District 15?
Precinct-level 2024 results for this race are being added.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.