electionsmcp › races › Minnesota State House District 21
Minnesota State House District 21
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Minnesota actually voted.
Model Minnesota State House District 21 →
Current officeholder
Marj Fogelman Republican
2024 result
Republican R+83.9
2024 votes cast
22,253
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
210 precincts reported in Minnesota State House District 21's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27101-135 | Republican | R+81.0 | 1,036 |
| 27133-55 | Republican | R+79.5 | 1,022 |
| 27117-80 | Republican | R+77.8 | 997 |
| 27033-75 | Republican | R+76.9 | 893 |
| 27165-110 | Democratic | D+6.4 | 892 |
| 27063-60 | Republican | R+27.1 | 875 |
| 27105-170 | Republican | R+27.0 | 869 |
| 27063-70 | Republican | R+39.8 | 790 |
| 27165-95 | Democratic | D+4.7 | 780 |
| 27117-75 | Republican | R+73.1 | 769 |
| 27133-65 | Republican | R+77.5 | 734 |
| 27033-135 | Republican | R+36.7 | 714 |
| 27117-25 | Republican | R+93.2 | 695 |
| 27101-60 | Republican | R+83.4 | 628 |
| 27081-95 | Republican | R+76.7 | 626 |
| 27105-5 | Republican | R+85.8 | 590 |
| 27105-186 | Republican | R+18.3 | 562 |
| 27033-145 | Republican | R+23.3 | 507 |
| 27033-130 | Republican | R+33.5 | 504 |
| 27063-95 | Republican | R+45.0 | 447 |
All 210 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Minnesota State House District 21 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Minnesota State House District 21 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Minnesota State House District 21 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Minnesota State House District 21?
Marj Fogelman (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Minnesota State House District 21?
R+83.9 — 0 Democratic, 18,669 Republican, of 22,253 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.