electionsmcp › races › Minnesota State House District 18
Minnesota State House District 18
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Minnesota actually voted.
Model Minnesota State House District 18 →
Current officeholder
Luke Frederick Democratic
2024 result
Republican R+51.6
2024 votes cast
23,804
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
51 precincts reported in Minnesota State House District 18's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27103-120 | Democratic | D+11.8 | 3,020 |
| 27103-130 | Democratic | D+27.6 | 2,826 |
| 27013-115 | Republican | R+4.7 | 2,026 |
| 27013-100 | Democratic | D+12.1 | 1,804 |
| 27013-140 | Democratic | D+4.2 | 1,779 |
| 27013-120 | Democratic | D+23.1 | 1,735 |
| 27013-40 | Republican | R+23.4 | 1,731 |
| 27013-105 | Democratic | D+8.3 | 1,502 |
| 27013-106 | Democratic | D+7.1 | 1,468 |
| 27013-150 | Democratic | D+17.3 | 1,418 |
| 27103-85 | Democratic | D+5.5 | 1,314 |
| 27013-130 | Democratic | D+2.3 | 1,283 |
| 27013-170 | Democratic | D+19.8 | 1,252 |
| 27103-90 | Republican | R+5.8 | 1,251 |
| 27013-160 | Democratic | D+35.9 | 1,217 |
| 27103-100 | Republican | R+7.6 | 1,195 |
| 27103-95 | Republican | R+6.2 | 1,139 |
| 27013-155 | Democratic | D+27.1 | 1,084 |
| 27103-75 | Democratic | D+13.6 | 1,080 |
| 27103-70 | Democratic | D+13.4 | 1,078 |
All 51 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Minnesota State House District 18 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Minnesota State House District 18 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Minnesota State House District 18 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Minnesota State House District 18?
Luke Frederick (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Minnesota State House District 18?
R+51.6 — 0 Democratic, 12,282 Republican, of 23,804 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.