electionsmcp › races › Minnesota State House District 15
Minnesota State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Minnesota actually voted.
Model Minnesota State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Paul Torkelson Republican
2024 result
Republican R+72.7
2024 votes cast
23,143
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
172 precincts reported in Minnesota State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27083-105 | Republican | R+33.2 | 2,444 |
| 27083-115 | Republican | R+25.7 | 1,948 |
| 27083-95 | Republican | R+25.6 | 1,800 |
| 27015-105 | Republican | R+25.1 | 1,055 |
| 27015-140 | Republican | R+60.3 | 1,037 |
| 27015-110 | Republican | R+36.4 | 1,029 |
| 27015-100 | Republican | R+31.2 | 1,016 |
| 27015-90 | Republican | R+24.9 | 979 |
| 27173-50 | Republican | R+27.1 | 954 |
| 27015-85 | Republican | R+11.9 | 943 |
| 27015-115 | Republican | R+33.3 | 918 |
| 27015-95 | Republican | R+33.9 | 897 |
| 27083-170 | Republican | R+39.3 | 889 |
| 27127-120 | Republican | R+36.4 | 868 |
| 27073-95 | Republican | R+30.3 | 865 |
| 27173-10 | Republican | R+45.2 | 857 |
| 27015-80 | Republican | R+27.9 | 854 |
| 27127-115 | Republican | R+39.2 | 836 |
| 27073-45 | Republican | R+25.0 | 775 |
| 27127-110 | Republican | R+27.9 | 766 |
All 172 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Minnesota State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Minnesota State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Minnesota State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Minnesota State House District 15?
Paul Torkelson (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Minnesota State House District 15?
R+72.7 — 0 Democratic, 16,814 Republican, of 23,143 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.