electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › Minnesota's 4th Congressional District

Minnesota's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Minnesota actually voted.

Model Minnesota's 4th Congressional District →

Minnesota's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within Minnesota's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+32.6 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Betty McCollum Democratic

2024 result

Republican R+32.6

2024 votes cast

361,043

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Betty McCollum's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#284 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

4.0estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 706,101 people, median age 37, median household income $88,368.

Population

706,101

Median age

37

Median household income

$88,368

Bachelor's degree or higher

47.5%

Race & ethnicity: White 63.2% · Black 10.4% · Hispanic 7.4% · Asian 13.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

212 precincts reported in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
27163-0170 Democratic D+6.1 4,830
27163-0415 Democratic D+22.1 4,191
27163-0175 Republican R+2.4 3,962
27163-0425 Democratic D+18.5 3,906
27163-0430 Democratic D+10.9 3,615
27123-1640 Democratic D+23.7 3,588
27163-0340 Democratic D+8.5 3,422
27163-0435 Democratic D+8.0 3,361
27163-0350 Democratic D+20.8 3,242
27123-0850 Democratic D+62.1 3,130
27163-0330 Democratic D+26.2 3,062
27123-1750 Democratic D+21.2 3,047
27163-0420 Democratic D+22.7 3,030
27123-1620 Democratic D+29.6 3,018
27123-1780 Democratic D+17.8 3,005
27163-0410 Democratic D+17.2 2,992
27163-0205 Democratic D+17.2 2,836
27163-0260 Democratic D+18.3 2,825
27123-0870 Democratic D+64.5 2,820
27123-0450 Democratic D+40.6 2,819

All 212 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Minnesota's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Minnesota's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Minnesota's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Minnesota's 4th Congressional District?
Betty McCollum (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District?
R+32.6 — 0 Democratic, 117,618 Republican, of 361,043 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Minnesota's 4th Congressional District?
Minnesota's 4th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 4.0 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 284 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

More races in Minnesota

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →