electionsmcp › races › Arkansas State House District 30
Arkansas State House District 30
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arkansas actually voted.
Model Arkansas State House District 30 →
Current officeholder
Frances Cavenaugh Republican
2024 result
Republican R+61.2
2024 votes cast
11,070
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
23 precincts reported in Arkansas State House District 30's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05055-JP11 | Republican | R+71.3 | 1,694 |
| 05031-PRECINCT 30 | Republican | R+59.2 | 1,166 |
| 05031-PRECINCT 37 | Republican | R+73.7 | 1,063 |
| 05031-PRECINCT 31 | Republican | R+75.2 | 926 |
| 05031-PRECINCT 40 | Republican | R+65.8 | 801 |
| 05031-PRECINCT 39 | Republican | R+57.5 | 777 |
| 05031-PRECINCT 38 | Republican | R+60.5 | 729 |
| 05031-PRECINCT 36 | Republican | R+49.2 | 673 |
| 05075-CAMPBELL 4 | Republican | R+62.9 | 550 |
| 05075-CAMPBELL 2 | Republican | R+66.9 | 538 |
| 05075-CAMPBELL 1 | Republican | R+60.6 | 513 |
| 05031-PRECINCT 34 | Democratic | D+15.6 | 372 |
| 05031-PRECINCT 33 | Republican | R+35.1 | 336 |
| 05075-CAMPBELL 3 | Republican | R+55.6 | 320 |
| 05075-BOAS 3 | Republican | R+64.4 | 208 |
| 05075-BOAS 1 | Republican | R+63.5 | 159 |
| 05031-PRECINCT 5 | Republican | R+56.6 | 83 |
| 05075-CACHE | Republican | R+83.3 | 48 |
| 05031-PRECINCT 41 | Republican | R+63.2 | 38 |
| 05075-RICHWOODS | Republican | R+63.2 | 38 |
All 23 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arkansas State House District 30 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arkansas State House District 30 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arkansas State House District 30 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Arkansas State House District 30?
Frances Cavenaugh (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Arkansas State House District 30?
R+61.2 — 2,147 Democratic, 8,923 Republican, of 11,070 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.