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Mississippi's 4th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Mississippi actually voted.
Model Mississippi's 4th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Mike Ezell Republican
2024 result
Republican R+47.9
2024 votes cast
290,866
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Mike Ezell's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
8.9estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 743,356 people, median age 38.6, median household income $58,969.
Population
743,356
Median age
38.6
Median household income
$58,969
Bachelor's degree or higher
24%
Race & ethnicity: White 67.1% · Black 22.3% · Hispanic 5.4% · Asian 1.4%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
312 precincts reported in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28047-Lyman | Republican | R+47.0 | 4,393 |
| 28047-North Bay | Republican | R+37.7 | 4,338 |
| 28059-East Central | Republican | R+86.7 | 4,314 |
| 28059-Fontainebleau | Republican | R+49.0 | 3,744 |
| 28059-West Jackson | Republican | R+45.9 | 3,541 |
| 28047-Bay Central | Republican | R+44.8 | 3,465 |
| 28047-Long Beach # 5 | Republican | R+61.3 | 3,242 |
| 28047-West Orange Grove | Republican | R+26.8 | 3,192 |
| 28047-Howard Creek | Republican | R+58.0 | 3,118 |
| 28059-OS Civic Ctr | Republican | R+44.9 | 2,975 |
| 28109-Pic/Hawl/Nh 5 | Republican | R+73.6 | 2,959 |
| 28047-Biloxi # 11 | Republican | R+35.3 | 2,891 |
| 28047-North Bel-Aire | Democratic | D+12.4 | 2,881 |
| 28059-Latimer | Republican | R+67.5 | 2,804 |
| 28059-Grace Baptist Church | Republican | R+48.4 | 2,778 |
| 28073-Sumrall | Republican | R+78.4 | 2,538 |
| 28073-Lake Serene | Republican | R+60.3 | 2,464 |
| 28059-South Vancleave | Republican | R+83.6 | 2,382 |
| 28059-Gautier South | Republican | R+29.1 | 2,307 |
| 28059-St Martin | Republican | R+49.7 | 2,287 |
All 312 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Mississippi's 4th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Mississippi's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Mississippi's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →