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Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Mississippi actually voted.
Model Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Michael Guest Republican
2024 result
Republican R+100.0
2024 votes cast
265,159
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Michael Guest's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
13.3estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 738,313 people, median age 38.4, median household income $57,738.
Population
738,313
Median age
38.4
Median household income
$57,738
Bachelor's degree or higher
27.9%
Race & ethnicity: White 58.9% · Black 33.9% · Hispanic 2.8% · Asian 1.1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
456 precincts reported in Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28121-BRANDON CITY HALL | Republican | R+100.0 | 3,579 |
| 28089-Lake Caroline Clubhouse | Republican | R+100.0 | 3,441 |
| 28089-Parkway Pentecostal Church | Republican | R+100.0 | 3,288 |
| 28089-Holmes CC Workforce Bldg | Republican | R+100.0 | 3,073 |
| 28105-South Starkville | Republican | R+100.0 | 3,044 |
| 28121-CASTLEWOODS WEST | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,777 |
| 28089-Gluckstadt @ St Joe Catholic | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,680 |
| 28089-Vertical Church | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,643 |
| 28089-Fairview MB Church | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,490 |
| 28121-OAKDALE | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,438 |
| 28121-FLOWOOD LIBRARY | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,416 |
| 28121-NORTHSHORE | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,293 |
| 28121-CASTLEWOODS EAST | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,246 |
| 28121-GRANT'S FERRY | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,235 |
| 28121-NORTH BRANDON | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,083 |
| 28089-Pilgrim Rest MB Church | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,065 |
| 28121-NORTHEAST BRANDON | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,022 |
| 28121-EAST STEEN CREEK | Republican | R+100.0 | 2,007 |
| 28121-GREENFIELD | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,986 |
| 28121-EAST CROSSGATES | Republican | R+100.0 | 1,890 |
All 456 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →