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Mississippi's 1st Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Mississippi actually voted.
Model Mississippi's 1st Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Trent Kelly Republican
2024 result
Republican R+39.6
2024 votes cast
320,286
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Trent Kelly's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
9.7estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 743,078 people, median age 38, median household income $60,877.
Population
743,078
Median age
38
Median household income
$60,877
Bachelor's degree or higher
23.7%
Race & ethnicity: White 64.2% · Black 28.1% · Hispanic 3.9% · Asian 0.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
402 precincts reported in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28071-Oxford 2 | Republican | R+20.5 | 5,156 |
| 28081-TFM #5 | Republican | R+55.6 | 4,915 |
| 28033-Lewisburg | Republican | R+29.4 | 3,772 |
| 28087-New Hope | Republican | R+59.4 | 3,751 |
| 28087-Caledonia | Republican | R+72.3 | 3,116 |
| 28071-Oxford 4 | Republican | R+9.3 | 3,050 |
| 28071-Oxford 1 | Republican | R+39.4 | 2,998 |
| 28033-Heartland Church | Republican | R+27.5 | 2,795 |
| 28081-Tupelo 3 | Republican | R+25.3 | 2,734 |
| 28033-Hernando Central | Republican | R+55.8 | 2,533 |
| 28081-Tupelo 2 | Republican | R+37.6 | 2,415 |
| 28087-Southside Church | Democratic | D+63.8 | 2,356 |
| 28033-Desoto Hills Baptist Church | Republican | R+26.0 | 2,341 |
| 28033-Greenbrook North | Democratic | D+3.7 | 2,292 |
| 28033-First Presbyterian Church | Republican | R+65.7 | 2,286 |
| 28033-Summershill | Democratic | D+0.3 | 2,282 |
| 28087-Lion Hills | Republican | R+39.1 | 2,258 |
| 28033-Boulevard Baptist Church | Republican | R+11.4 | 2,245 |
| 28033-Miller | Republican | R+22.8 | 2,226 |
| 28033-Colonial Hills Hernando | Republican | R+63.8 | 2,156 |
All 402 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Mississippi's 1st Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Mississippi's 1st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Mississippi's 1st Congressional District in the simulator →