electionsmcp › races › Iowa State House District 40
Iowa State House District 40
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Iowa actually voted.
Model Iowa State House District 40 →
Current officeholder
Bill Gustoff Republican
2024 result
Republican R+1.9
2024 votes cast
17,122
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
12 precincts reported in Iowa State House District 40's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19153-ALTOONA 6 | Republican | R+3.2 | 2,523 |
| 19153-ALTOONA 5 | Republican | R+10.7 | 1,934 |
| 19153-ALTOONA 4 | Democratic | D+6.4 | 1,839 |
| 19153-ALTOONA 2 | Democratic | D+5.6 | 1,834 |
| 19153-ALTOONA 3 | Democratic | D+2.2 | 1,750 |
| 19153-SAYLOR 2 | Republican | R+18.0 | 1,447 |
| 19153-ALTOONA 1 | Democratic | D+4.4 | 1,347 |
| 19153-DELAWARE 1 | Republican | R+12.4 | 1,270 |
| 19153-ANKENY 14 | Democratic | D+0.9 | 1,253 |
| 19153-ANKENY 13 | Democratic | D+7.9 | 1,029 |
| 19153-DES MOINES 1 | Democratic | D+5.0 | 541 |
| 19153-CLAY 2 | Republican | R+13.2 | 355 |
All 12 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Iowa State House District 40 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Iowa State House District 40 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Iowa State House District 40 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Iowa State House District 40?
Bill Gustoff (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Iowa State House District 40?
R+1.9 — 8,402 Democratic, 8,720 Republican, of 17,122 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.