electionsmcp › races › Iowa State House District 38
Iowa State House District 38
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Iowa actually voted.
Model Iowa State House District 38 →
Current officeholder
Jon Dunwell Republican
2024 result
Republican R+11.6
2024 votes cast
16,199
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
15 precincts reported in Iowa State House District 38's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19099-HG-K-M-RC | Republican | R+27.8 | 1,537 |
| 19099-MP-P-W | Republican | R+9.6 | 1,496 |
| 19099-M-N-S | Republican | R+15.3 | 1,443 |
| 19099-Lynngrove-Richland | Republican | R+72.0 | 1,286 |
| 19099-Clear Creek-Independence | Republican | R+18.8 | 1,246 |
| 19099-NT 4-1 | Democratic | D+2.7 | 1,188 |
| 19099-NT 2-2 | Democratic | D+1.6 | 1,090 |
| 19099-Colfax | Democratic | D+8.2 | 1,074 |
| 19099-NT 3-1 | Republican | R+1.5 | 922 |
| 19099-NT 3-2 | Republican | R+4.9 | 917 |
| 19099-NT 1-1 | Democratic | D+5.8 | 870 |
| 19099-NT 4-2 | Democratic | D+2.2 | 865 |
| 19099-NT 2-1 | Republican | R+2.3 | 839 |
| 19099-NT 1-2 | Democratic | D+10.0 | 833 |
| 19099-PA | Republican | R+22.1 | 593 |
All 15 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Iowa State House District 38 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Iowa State House District 38 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Iowa State House District 38 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Iowa State House District 38?
Jon Dunwell (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Iowa State House District 38?
R+11.6 — 7,164 Democratic, 9,035 Republican, of 16,199 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.