electionsmcp › races › Iowa State House District 45
Iowa State House District 45
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Iowa actually voted.
Model Iowa State House District 45 →
Current officeholder
Brian K. Lohse Republican
2024 result
Republican R+29.4
2024 votes cast
19,825
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
18 precincts reported in Iowa State House District 45's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19153-JEFFERSON | Republican | R+24.9 | 1,950 |
| 19153-POLK CITY 2 | Republican | R+20.9 | 1,890 |
| 19153-BONDURANT 1 | Republican | R+28.6 | 1,873 |
| 19153-POLK CITY 1 | Republican | R+21.5 | 1,753 |
| 19153-MITCHELLVILLE | Republican | R+25.8 | 1,501 |
| 19153-BONDURANT 2 | Republican | R+33.6 | 1,480 |
| 19153-FOUR MILE | Republican | R+29.7 | 1,396 |
| 19153-RUNNELLS | Republican | R+41.5 | 1,389 |
| 19153-ELKHART | Republican | R+25.2 | 1,192 |
| 19153-BONDURANT 3 | Republican | R+31.4 | 1,088 |
| 19153-CROCKER 2 | Republican | R+28.6 | 1,076 |
| 19153-FRANKLIN | Republican | R+41.7 | 1,009 |
| 19153-DOUGLAS | Republican | R+34.1 | 701 |
| 19153-ALLEMAN | Republican | R+35.0 | 588 |
| 19153-SHELDAHL | Republican | R+37.5 | 301 |
| 19153-WASHINGTON | Republican | R+57.7 | 298 |
| 19153-ALLEN | Republican | R+12.7 | 229 |
| 19153-MADISON | Republican | R+26.1 | 111 |
All 18 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Iowa State House District 45 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Iowa State House District 45 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Iowa State House District 45 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Iowa State House District 45?
Brian K. Lohse (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Iowa State House District 45?
R+29.4 — 6,998 Democratic, 12,827 Republican, of 19,825 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.