electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › Utah's 3rd Congressional District

Utah's 3rd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Utah actually voted.

Model Utah's 3rd Congressional District →

Utah's 3rd Congressional District — highlighted within Utah's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+49.7 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Mike Kennedy Republican

2024 result

Republican R+49.7

2024 votes cast

160,580

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Mike Kennedy's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#329 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

3.2estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage82.4%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 818,343 people, median age 30.3, median household income $91,520.

Population

818,343

Median age

30.3

Median household income

$91,520

Bachelor's degree or higher

43.3%

Race & ethnicity: White 78.2% · Black 0.9% · Hispanic 12.4% · Asian 2.2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

730 precincts reported in Utah's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
49035-SAN056 Republican R+9.1 1,094
49035-DRP007 Republican R+27.4 1,093
49049-AL301 Republican R+66.4 1,077
49049-HI307 Republican R+67.5 1,076
49049-PG302 Republican R+79.6 1,068
49049-LE312 Republican R+55.5 1,061
49049-CH308 Republican R+69.6 1,060
49049-VI308 Republican R+65.0 1,053
49049-CH305 Republican R+66.7 1,038
49035-HOL019 Republican R+19.1 1,033
49049-LE301 Republican R+42.4 1,024
49035-SAN045 Republican R+7.5 1,016
49049-LE316 Republican R+64.5 1,014
49035-SAN038 Republican R+1.5 1,013
49035-MIL032 Democratic D+18.9 999
49049-PR307 Republican R+39.7 998
49049-LI308 Republican R+64.0 995
49049-PR326 Republican R+43.9 995
49035-DRP011 Republican R+48.8 993
49035-DRP019 Republican R+57.9 993

All 730 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Utah's 3rd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Utah's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Utah's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Utah's 3rd Congressional District?
Mike Kennedy (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Utah's 3rd Congressional District?
R+49.7 — 40,375 Democratic, 120,205 Republican, of 160,580 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Utah's 3rd Congressional District?
Utah's 3rd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 3.2 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 329 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 82.4%.

More races in Utah

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →