electionsmcp › races › New Hampshire State House District 4
New Hampshire State House District 4
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New Hampshire actually voted.
Model New Hampshire State House District 4 →
Current officeholder
Travis J Toner Republican
2024 result
Republican R+0.8
2024 votes cast
24,975
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
24 precincts reported in New Hampshire State House District 4's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33017-BARRINGTON | Democratic | D+1.0 | 34,142 |
| 33015-RAYMOND | Republican | R+28.4 | 16,298 |
| 33017-STRAFFORD | Republican | R+4.6 | 15,812 |
| 33011-NASHUA WARD 2 | Democratic | D+51.7 | 11,198 |
| 33013-LOUDON | Republican | R+22.3 | 6,539 |
| 33003-WAKEFIELD | Republican | R+51.3 | 5,140 |
| 33013-CANTERBURY | Democratic | D+16.9 | 3,180 |
| 33001-BELMONT | Republican | R+98.4 | 3,059 |
| 33005-KEENE WARD 4 | Democratic | D+31.1 | 2,375 |
| 33009-THORNTON | Democratic | D+7.0 | 1,785 |
| 33003-FREEDOM | Republican | R+36.8 | 1,608 |
| 33003-EFFINGHAM | Republican | R+47.7 | 1,400 |
| 33007-WHITEFIELD | Republican | R+2.9 | 1,384 |
| 33019-WASHINGTON | Republican | R+30.2 | 834 |
| 33003-BROOKFIELD | Republican | R+43.2 | 827 |
| 33019-LEMPSTER | Republican | R+21.9 | 712 |
| 33007-JEFFERSON | Republican | R+28.9 | 658 |
| 33019-ACWORTH | Republican | R+6.9 | 568 |
| 33007-CARROLL | Republican | R+9.9 | 526 |
| 33019-GOSHEN | Republican | R+34.4 | 439 |
All 24 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model New Hampshire State House District 4 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New Hampshire State House District 4 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open New Hampshire State House District 4 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents New Hampshire State House District 4?
Travis J Toner (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New Hampshire State House District 4?
R+0.8 — 12,392 Democratic, 12,583 Republican, of 24,975 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.