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New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New Hampshire actually voted.

Model New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District →

New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District — highlighted within New Hampshire's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+8.1 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Chris Pappas Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+8.1

2024 votes cast

404,513

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Chris Pappas's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#411 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

1.2estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage84.5%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 694,195 people, median age 42.7, median household income $97,362.

Population

694,195

Median age

42.7

Median household income

$97,362

Bachelor's degree or higher

40.4%

Race & ethnicity: White 87.4% · Black 1.6% · Hispanic 4.6% · Asian 2.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

109 precincts reported in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
33015-DERRY Republican R+2.9 17,502
33011-MERRIMACK Democratic D+6.5 17,158
33015-LONDONDERRY Democratic D+1.8 15,905
33011-BEDFORD Democratic D+7.5 14,473
33015-HAMPTON Democratic D+9.6 10,294
33011-GOFFSTOWN Democratic D+6.1 10,292
33015-EXETER Democratic D+33.3 10,201
33013-HOOKSETT Democratic D+3.9 8,805
33017-DURHAM Democratic D+51.5 7,969
33017-BARRINGTON Democratic D+9.1 6,233
33015-RAYMOND Republican R+15.2 6,169
33015-HAMPSTEAD Republican R+15.3 6,111
33015-NEWMARKET Democratic D+33.6 5,894
33003-CONWAY Democratic D+19.8 5,848
33011-MANCHESTER WARD 1 Democratic D+27.6 5,620
33015-STRATHAM Democratic D+19.5 5,463
33011-MANCHESTER WARD 8 Democratic D+6.6 5,340
33011-MANCHESTER WARD 6 Democratic D+8.8 5,203
33001-GILFORD Democratic D+0.1 5,187
33011-MANCHESTER WARD 2 Democratic D+24.5 5,133

All 109 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District?
Chris Pappas (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District?
D+8.1 — 218,577 Democratic, 185,936 Republican, of 404,513 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District?
New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 1.2 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 411 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 84.5%.

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