electionsmcp › races › Maine State House District 15
Maine State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Maine actually voted.
Model Maine State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Holly Eaton Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+0.0
2024 votes cast
5,823
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
9 precincts reported in Maine State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23009-DEER ISLE | Democratic | D+50.4 | 1,313 |
| 23009-SOUTHWEST HARBOR | Democratic | D+55.5 | 1,112 |
| 23009-TREMONT | Independent | D+46.9 | 998 |
| 23013-VINALHAVEN | Independent | D+46.1 | 781 |
| 23009-BROOKLIN | Democratic | D+65.8 | 635 |
| 23009-STONINGTON | Democratic | D+53.6 | 614 |
| 23009-SWAN'S ISLAND | Independent | D+38.5 | 283 |
| 23013-ISLE AU HAUT | Democratic | D+71.7 | 60 |
| 23009-FRENCHBORO | Independent | D+48.1 | 27 |
All 9 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Maine State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Maine State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Maine State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Maine State House District 15?
Holly Eaton (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Maine State House District 15?
D+0.0 — 0 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 5,823 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.