electionsmcp › races › Maine State Senate District 4
Maine State Senate District 4
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Maine actually voted.
Model Maine State Senate District 4 →
Current officeholder
Stacey K. Guerin Republican
2024 result
Democratic D+0.0
2024 votes cast
23,250
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
30 precincts reported in Maine State Senate District 4's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23019-Glenburn | Republican | R+43.1 | 2,804 |
| 23021-Dover-Foxcroft | Republican | R+9.1 | 2,371 |
| 23019-Dexter | Republican | R+22.8 | 1,891 |
| 23019-Levant | Republican | R+57.2 | 1,604 |
| 23019-Corinth | Republican | R+61.2 | 1,563 |
| 23021-Milo/Orneville Twp | Republican | R+9.8 | 1,237 |
| 23019-Corinna | Republican | R+49.0 | 1,181 |
| 23021-Greenville | Republican | R+16.3 | 1,101 |
| 23019-Hudson | Republican | R+54.5 | 849 |
| 23021-Brownville/Twps | Republican | R+17.2 | 778 |
| 23019-Charleston | Republican | R+53.7 | 777 |
| 23019-Kenduskeag | Republican | R+57.4 | 770 |
| 23021-Guilford/Kingsbury Plt | Republican | R+20.6 | 761 |
| 23021-Sangerville | Republican | R+28.7 | 741 |
| 23019-Bradford | Republican | R+49.6 | 703 |
| 23019-Garland | Republican | R+37.8 | 611 |
| 23019-Exeter | Republican | R+48.5 | 536 |
| 23021-Monson | Republican | R+30.2 | 507 |
| 23021-Parkman | Republican | R+31.8 | 475 |
| 23021-Sebec | Republican | R+35.9 | 415 |
All 30 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Maine State Senate District 4 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Maine State Senate District 4 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Maine State Senate District 4 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Maine State Senate District 4?
Stacey K. Guerin (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Maine State Senate District 4?
D+0.0 — 0 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 23,250 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.