electionsmcp › races › Massachusetts State House District 15
Massachusetts State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Massachusetts actually voted.
Model Massachusetts State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Tommy Vitolo Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+100.0
2024 votes cast
17,682
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
76 precincts reported in Massachusetts State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25017-LEXINGTON_ward0_precinct2 | Democratic | D+98.5 | 1,783 |
| 25017-LEXINGTON_ward0_precinct9 | Democratic | D+99.0 | 1,763 |
| 25017-LEXINGTON_ward0_precinct4 | Democratic | D+99.6 | 1,639 |
| 25017-LEXINGTON_ward0_precinct7 | Democratic | D+98.9 | 1,598 |
| 25017-LEXINGTON_ward0_precinct5 | Democratic | D+98.9 | 1,593 |
| 25017-LEXINGTON_ward0_precinct8 | Democratic | D+99.2 | 1,589 |
| 25021-BROOKLINE_ward0_precinct12 | Democratic | D+98.6 | 1,539 |
| 25009-METHUEN_ward0_precinct11 | Democratic | D+95.8 | 1,508 |
| 25017-LEXINGTON_ward0_precinct1 | Democratic | D+98.7 | 1,499 |
| 25021-BROOKLINE_ward0_precinct11 | Democratic | D+98.6 | 1,487 |
| 25021-BROOKLINE_ward0_precinct6 | Democratic | D+98.8 | 1,482 |
| 25021-BROOKLINE_ward0_precinct10 | Democratic | D+98.1 | 1,445 |
| 25025-BOSTON_ward11_precinct8 | Democratic | D+99.1 | 1,432 |
| 25021-BROOKLINE_ward0_precinct9 | Democratic | D+98.5 | 1,422 |
| 25017-LEXINGTON_ward0_precinct3 | Democratic | D+99.4 | 1,380 |
| 25021-BROOKLINE_ward0_precinct8 | Democratic | D+98.5 | 1,370 |
| 25021-BROOKLINE_ward0_precinct3 | Democratic | D+98.8 | 1,348 |
| 25009-HAVERHILL_ward5_precinct2 | Democratic | D+99.2 | 1,337 |
| 25009-METHUEN_ward0_precinct8 | Democratic | D+96.3 | 1,313 |
| 25009-METHUEN_ward0_precinct12 | Democratic | D+96.4 | 1,292 |
All 76 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Massachusetts State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Massachusetts State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Massachusetts State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Massachusetts State House District 15?
Tommy Vitolo (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Massachusetts State House District 15?
D+100.0 — 17,682 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 17,682 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.