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Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Massachusetts actually voted.

Model Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District →

Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District — highlighted within Massachusetts's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+100.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Lori Trahan Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+100.0

2024 votes cast

264,698

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Lori Trahan's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#409 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

1.3estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 777,948 people, median age 39.2, median household income $97,616.

Population

777,948

Median age

39.2

Median household income

$97,616

Bachelor's degree or higher

39.6%

Race & ethnicity: White 61.1% · Black 4.6% · Hispanic 22.2% · Asian 7.9%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

254 precincts reported in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
25027-HARVARD_ward0_precinct1 Democratic D+97.4 3,224
25027-BOLTON_ward0_precinct1 Democratic D+96.6 2,882
25017-CARLISLE_ward0_precinct1 Democratic D+98.1 2,753
25017-SHIRLEY_ward0_precinct1 Democratic D+96.4 2,719
25017-BOXBOROUGH_ward0_precinct1 Democratic D+100.0 2,528
25017-CONCORD_ward0_precinct4 Democratic D+99.3 2,205
25017-CONCORD_ward0_precinct2 Democratic D+99.1 2,069
25017-CONCORD_ward0_precinct3 Democratic D+98.9 2,019
25017-GROTON_ward0_precinct1 Democratic D+99.2 2,003
25017-CONCORD_ward0_precinct5 Democratic D+99.2 1,954
25017-STOW_ward0_precinct1 Democratic D+98.6 1,925
25017-WESTFORD_ward0_precinct7 Democratic D+97.9 1,878
25017-ACTON_ward0_precinct3 Democratic D+97.7 1,871
25017-STOW_ward0_precinct2 Democratic D+98.8 1,816
25017-WESTFORD_ward0_precinct3 Democratic D+97.6 1,816
25017-GROTON_ward0_precinct2 Democratic D+98.7 1,804
25017-GROTON_ward0_precinct3 Democratic D+98.3 1,803
25017-WESTFORD_ward0_precinct6 Democratic D+97.0 1,775
25027-BERLIN_ward0_precinct1 Democratic D+98.7 1,764
25017-CONCORD_ward0_precinct1 Democratic D+99.0 1,726

All 254 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District?
Lori Trahan (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District?
D+100.0 — 264,698 Democratic, 0 Republican, of 264,698 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District?
Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 1.3 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 409 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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