electionsmcp › races › Idaho State House District 21
Idaho State House District 21
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Idaho actually voted.
Model Idaho State House District 21 →
Current officeholder
Jeff Ehlers Republican
2024 result
Republican R+28.9
2024 votes cast
25,922
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
20 precincts reported in Idaho State House District 21's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16001-2120 | Republican | R+26.7 | 3,987 |
| 16001-2111 | Republican | R+32.0 | 3,362 |
| 16001-2107 | Republican | R+40.7 | 3,227 |
| 16001-2115 | Republican | R+31.7 | 2,867 |
| 16001-2114 | Republican | R+21.0 | 2,774 |
| 16001-2102 | Republican | R+38.0 | 2,756 |
| 16001-2112 | Republican | R+36.1 | 2,720 |
| 16001-2118 | Republican | R+34.8 | 2,715 |
| 16001-2113 | Republican | R+21.7 | 2,597 |
| 16001-2116 | Republican | R+44.5 | 2,575 |
| 16001-2109 | Republican | R+20.5 | 2,523 |
| 16001-2117 | Republican | R+44.0 | 2,363 |
| 16001-2103 | Republican | R+32.7 | 2,339 |
| 16001-2106 | Republican | R+30.2 | 2,304 |
| 16001-2104 | Republican | R+33.8 | 2,287 |
| 16001-2108 | Republican | R+36.0 | 2,233 |
| 16001-2119 | Republican | R+39.3 | 2,031 |
| 16001-2110 | Republican | R+19.8 | 2,023 |
| 16001-2105 | Republican | R+28.6 | 1,998 |
| 16001-2101 | Republican | R+46.3 | 1,959 |
All 20 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Idaho State House District 21 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Idaho State House District 21 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Idaho State House District 21 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Idaho State House District 21?
Jeff Ehlers (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Idaho State House District 21?
R+28.9 — 8,504 Democratic, 16,005 Republican, of 25,922 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.