electionsmcp › races › Idaho State House District 15
Idaho State House District 15
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Idaho actually voted.
Model Idaho State House District 15 →
Current officeholder
Steve Berch Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+0.9
2024 votes cast
24,671
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
20 precincts reported in Idaho State House District 15's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16001-1510 | Democratic | D+5.4 | 2,916 |
| 16001-1519 | Republican | R+10.5 | 2,795 |
| 16001-1508 | Democratic | R+0.4 | 2,782 |
| 16001-1501 | Republican | R+13.8 | 2,748 |
| 16001-1509 | Democratic | D+9.6 | 2,689 |
| 16001-1504 | Democratic | D+1.3 | 2,643 |
| 16001-1503 | Republican | R+12.6 | 2,616 |
| 16001-1507 | Republican | R+7.2 | 2,556 |
| 16001-1517 | Democratic | D+3.3 | 2,464 |
| 16001-1513 | Democratic | R+0.3 | 2,432 |
| 16001-1506 | Republican | R+7.9 | 2,399 |
| 16001-1512 | Republican | R+3.5 | 2,373 |
| 16001-1520 | Republican | R+3.9 | 2,294 |
| 16001-1505 | Republican | R+8.6 | 2,286 |
| 16001-1514 | Democratic | D+6.7 | 2,275 |
| 16001-1518 | Republican | R+2.3 | 2,242 |
| 16001-1515 | Democratic | D+2.9 | 2,168 |
| 16001-1516 | Republican | R+8.4 | 2,167 |
| 16001-1502 | Republican | R+5.6 | 2,161 |
| 16001-1511 | Republican | R+8.7 | 2,081 |
All 20 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Idaho State House District 15 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Idaho State House District 15 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Idaho State House District 15 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Idaho State House District 15?
Steve Berch (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Idaho State House District 15?
D+0.9 — 12,449 Democratic, 12,222 Republican, of 24,671 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.