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Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Wisconsin actually voted.

Model Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District →

Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within Wisconsin's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+52.4 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Gwen Moore Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+52.4

2024 votes cast

334,282

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Gwen Moore's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#15 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

16.8estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 727,084 people, median age 33.8, median household income $57,999.

Population

727,084

Median age

33.8

Median household income

$57,999

Bachelor's degree or higher

33.2%

Race & ethnicity: White 41% · Black 32.3% · Hispanic 18.2% · Asian 4.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

423 precincts reported in Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
55079-Village of SHOREWOOD Wards 1-4 Democratic D+66.0 3,400
55079-Village of SHOREWOOD Wards 5-8 Democratic D+62.2 2,851
55079-Village of SHOREWOOD Wards 9-12 Democratic D+66.3 2,764
55079-Village of FOX POINT Wards 5-9 Democratic D+41.5 2,721
55079-Village of BROWN DEER Wards 5-6 Democratic D+46.5 2,434
55079-Village of BROWN DEER Wards 1-2 Democratic D+55.1 2,367
55079-City of WEST ALLIS Ward 18 Democratic D+5.5 2,208
55079-Village of FOX POINT Wards 1-4 Democratic D+31.3 2,086
55079-City of MILWAUKEE Ward 33 Democratic D+38.9 2,008
55079-City of MILWAUKEE Ward 173 Democratic D+66.7 1,907
55079-Village of BAYSIDE Wards 2,4-5 Democratic D+40.8 1,894
55079-Village of WHITEFISH BAY Wards 8,10 Democratic D+39.9 1,790
55079-City of MILWAUKEE Ward 164 Democratic D+59.0 1,785
55079-City of MILWAUKEE Ward 175 Democratic D+69.6 1,765
55079-City of WEST ALLIS Ward 1 Democratic D+31.4 1,680
55079-City of GLENDALE Wards 2,8 Democratic D+46.2 1,635
55079-City of MILWAUKEE Ward 187 Democratic D+23.2 1,622
55079-City of WEST ALLIS Ward 19 Democratic D+2.9 1,619
55079-City of MILWAUKEE Ward 174 Democratic D+63.6 1,611
55079-Village of WHITEFISH BAY Wards 5-6 Democratic D+30.7 1,611

All 423 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District?
Gwen Moore (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District?
D+52.4 — 249,938 Democratic, 74,921 Republican, of 334,282 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District?
Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 16.8 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 15 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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