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Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Oklahoma actually voted.

Model Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District →

Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within Oklahoma's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+37.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Tom Cole Republican

2024 result

Republican R+37.0

2024 votes cast

306,473

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Tom Cole's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#194 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

6.1estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage91.6%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 798,638 people, median age 36.3, median household income $65,779.

Population

798,638

Median age

36.3

Median household income

$65,779

Bachelor's degree or higher

27.4%

Race & ethnicity: White 66.2% · Black 7.5% · Hispanic 10.4% · Asian 2.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

361 precincts reported in Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
40109-559999 Democratic D+14.3 4,398
40027-140317 Republican R+5.5 2,398
40031-160031 Republican R+24.7 2,300
40031-160038 Republican R+54.1 2,257
40027-140304 Republican R+19.4 2,179
40027-140104 Republican R+28.6 2,059
40027-140341 Democratic D+1.0 2,034
40027-140338 Republican R+5.1 2,021
40051-260041 Republican R+63.8 1,983
40027-140113 Republican R+42.4 1,969
40051-260038 Republican R+62.3 1,926
40027-140307 Republican R+6.9 1,921
40027-140218 Republican R+44.2 1,890
40027-140102 Republican R+37.6 1,889
40027-140112 Republican R+21.7 1,888
40027-140217 Republican R+28.8 1,851
40087-440020 Republican R+51.9 1,851
40027-140340 Democratic D+7.1 1,849
40027-140303 Republican R+13.9 1,843
40027-140214 Republican R+28.0 1,804

All 361 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District?
Tom Cole (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District?
R+37.0 — 86,641 Democratic, 199,962 Republican, of 306,473 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District?
Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 6.1 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 194 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 91.6%.

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