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New Jersey's 4th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New Jersey actually voted.
Model New Jersey's 4th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Christopher H. Smith Republican
2024 result
Republican R+35.7
2024 votes cast
394,546
Office
U.S. House
District health & safety estimate
Context for Christopher H. Smith's district
CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data
1.4estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year
This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 780,618 people, median age 41.1, median household income $95,512.
Population
780,618
Median age
41.1
Median household income
$95,512
Bachelor's degree or higher
39.5%
Race & ethnicity: White 80.2% · Black 3.5% · Hispanic 11% · Asian 2.5%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
516 precincts reported in New Jersey's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34029-Lakewood District 15 | Republican | R+89.5 | 3,230 |
| 34029-Lakewood District 06 | Republican | R+93.7 | 2,616 |
| 34029-Lakewood District 12 | Republican | R+97.2 | 2,053 |
| 34029-Manchester District 02 | Republican | R+25.9 | 1,872 |
| 34029-Lacey District 16 | Republican | R+38.8 | 1,838 |
| 34025-Howell Township 27 | Republican | R+29.2 | 1,635 |
| 34029-Lakewood District 08 | Republican | R+90.0 | 1,602 |
| 34029-Lakewood District 10 | Republican | R+97.4 | 1,592 |
| 34029-Lakewood District 37 | Republican | R+95.5 | 1,565 |
| 34025-Tinton Falls Borough 01 | Republican | R+12.6 | 1,392 |
| 34025-Howell Township 31 | Republican | R+22.8 | 1,350 |
| 34029-Lacey District 10 | Republican | R+43.4 | 1,337 |
| 34029-Lacey District 09 | Republican | R+42.4 | 1,336 |
| 34029-Manchester District 40 | Republican | R+41.2 | 1,333 |
| 34025-Brielle Borough 01 | Republican | R+29.1 | 1,318 |
| 34029-Lakewood District 13 | Republican | R+84.4 | 1,317 |
| 34029-Lacey District 02 | Republican | R+44.2 | 1,294 |
| 34029-Lakewood District 16 | Republican | R+94.4 | 1,289 |
| 34025-Colts Neck Township 07 | Republican | R+43.9 | 1,284 |
| 34025-Howell Township 26 | Republican | R+36.2 | 1,272 |
All 516 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model New Jersey's 4th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New Jersey's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open New Jersey's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →