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New Jersey's 4th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how New Jersey actually voted.

Model New Jersey's 4th Congressional District →

New Jersey's 4th Congressional District — highlighted within New Jersey's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+35.7 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Christopher H. Smith Republican

2024 result

Republican R+35.7

2024 votes cast

394,546

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 780,618 people, median age 41.1, median household income $95,512.

Population

780,618

Median age

41.1

Median household income

$95,512

Bachelor's degree or higher

39.5%

Race & ethnicity: White 80.2% · Black 3.5% · Hispanic 11% · Asian 2.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

516 precincts reported in New Jersey's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
34029-Lakewood District 15 Republican R+89.5 3,230
34029-Lakewood District 06 Republican R+93.7 2,616
34029-Lakewood District 12 Republican R+97.2 2,053
34029-Manchester District 02 Republican R+25.9 1,872
34029-Lacey District 16 Republican R+38.8 1,838
34025-Howell Township 27 Republican R+29.2 1,635
34029-Lakewood District 08 Republican R+90.0 1,602
34029-Lakewood District 10 Republican R+97.4 1,592
34029-Lakewood District 37 Republican R+95.5 1,565
34025-Tinton Falls Borough 01 Republican R+12.6 1,392
34025-Howell Township 31 Republican R+22.8 1,350
34029-Lacey District 10 Republican R+43.4 1,337
34029-Lacey District 09 Republican R+42.4 1,336
34029-Manchester District 40 Republican R+41.2 1,333
34025-Brielle Borough 01 Republican R+29.1 1,318
34029-Lakewood District 13 Republican R+84.4 1,317
34029-Lacey District 02 Republican R+44.2 1,294
34029-Lakewood District 16 Republican R+94.4 1,289
34025-Colts Neck Township 07 Republican R+43.9 1,284
34025-Howell Township 26 Republican R+36.2 1,272

All 516 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model New Jersey's 4th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the New Jersey's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open New Jersey's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents New Jersey's 4th Congressional District?
Christopher H. Smith (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in New Jersey's 4th Congressional District?
R+35.7 — 124,803 Democratic, 265,652 Republican, of 394,546 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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