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Maryland's 2nd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Maryland actually voted.

Model Maryland's 2nd Congressional District →

Maryland's 2nd Congressional District — highlighted within Maryland's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+18.6 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Johnny Olszewski, Jr. Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+18.6

2024 votes cast

384,794

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Johnny Olszewski, Jr.'s district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#80 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

9.0estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage100.0%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 769,821 people, median age 40.1, median household income $98,346.

Population

769,821

Median age

40.1

Median household income

$98,346

Bachelor's degree or higher

45.2%

Race & ethnicity: White 60% · Black 24% · Hispanic 6.4% · Asian 5.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

230 precincts reported in Maryland's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
24013-005-003 Republican R+9.1 5,614
24013-007-009 Republican R+5.2 4,873
24013-008-001 Republican R+31.7 4,609
24013-009-001 Republican R+34.9 4,555
24013-005-006 Republican R+8.2 4,406
24013-007-005 Republican R+8.8 4,406
24013-004-002 Republican R+23.7 4,322
24013-005-004 Republican R+10.9 4,282
24013-006-002 Republican R+39.9 4,003
24005-002-015 Democratic D+80.4 3,693
24005-004-012 Democratic D+59.8 3,662
24005-001-012 Democratic D+28.0 3,423
24005-003-007 Democratic D+23.5 3,398
24005-009-005 Democratic D+43.6 3,369
24005-009-024 Democratic D+15.9 3,222
24013-005-005 Republican R+9.4 3,170
24005-002-012 Democratic D+80.1 3,168
24005-001-017 Democratic D+73.3 3,048
24005-015-005 Democratic D+32.1 3,037
24005-004-004 Democratic D+47.5 2,956

All 230 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Maryland's 2nd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Maryland's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Maryland's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Maryland's 2nd Congressional District?
Johnny Olszewski, Jr. (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Maryland's 2nd Congressional District?
D+18.6 — 223,797 Democratic, 152,079 Republican, of 384,794 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Maryland's 2nd Congressional District?
Maryland's 2nd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 9.0 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 80 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 100.0%.

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