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Kansas's 4th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Kansas actually voted.
Model Kansas's 4th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Ron Estes Republican
2024 result
Democratic D+0.0
2024 votes cast
417,844
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 734,889 people, median age 37.1, median household income $67,563.
Population
734,889
Median age
37.1
Median household income
$67,563
Bachelor's degree or higher
30.6%
Race & ethnicity: White 70.8% · Black 6.1% · Hispanic 13.8% · Asian 3.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Precinct results — 2024 general
373 precincts reported in Kansas's 4th Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20173-COUNTY TOTALS | Democratic | D+20.6 | 208,850 |
| 20173-512 | Democratic | D+30.9 | 2,992 |
| 20173-412 | Democratic | D+34.1 | 2,447 |
| 20173-218 | Democratic | D+11.2 | 2,187 |
| 20173-225 | Democratic | D+8.5 | 2,182 |
| 20173-531 | Democratic | D+39.2 | 2,114 |
| 20173-BA03 | Democratic | D+17.2 | 1,978 |
| 20173-215 | Democratic | D+12.8 | 1,912 |
| 20173-228 | Democratic | D+48.8 | 1,880 |
| 20173-MV02 | Democratic | D+40.9 | 1,831 |
| 20173-224 | Democratic | D+0.7 | 1,821 |
| 20173-524 | Democratic | D+28.6 | 1,782 |
| 20173-207 | Democratic | D+7.8 | 1,705 |
| 20173-410 | Democratic | D+48.0 | 1,672 |
| 20173-609 | Democratic | D+26.3 | 1,664 |
| 20173-413 | Democratic | D+29.1 | 1,662 |
| 20173-514 | Democratic | D+27.0 | 1,658 |
| 20173-BA01 | Democratic | D+19.1 | 1,616 |
| 20173-GY01 | Democratic | D+56.3 | 1,566 |
| 20173-623 | Democratic | D+40.3 | 1,541 |
All 373 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Kansas's 4th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Kansas's 4th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Kansas's 4th Congressional District in the simulator →