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Illinois's 2nd Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Illinois actually voted.

Model Illinois's 2nd Congressional District →

Illinois's 2nd Congressional District — highlighted within Illinois's U.S. House districts · 2024: D+30.5 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Robin L. Kelly Democratic

2024 result

Democratic D+30.5

2024 votes cast

240,784

Office

U.S. House

District health & safety estimate

Context for Robin L. Kelly's district

CDC WONDER, 2016–2022 · translated from county data

#35 highest estimated rate of 412 districts with publishable coverage

12.6estimated homicides per 100,000 residents / year

Reporting-population coverage91.6%

This is a county-derived estimate, not a direct CDC congressional-district statistic. Counties with suppressed small counts are missing, never counted as zero. Rank 1 is the highest estimated rate.

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 743,574 people, median age 38.8, median household income $61,514.

Population

743,574

Median age

38.8

Median household income

$61,514

Bachelor's degree or higher

24.1%

Race & ethnicity: White 34.2% · Black 46.7% · Hispanic 15.3% · Asian 1%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Precinct results — 2024 general

475 precincts reported in Illinois's 2nd Congressional District's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:

Precinct Winner Margin Votes
17031-9000001 Democratic D+89.8 2,122
17091-BOURBONNAIS 19 Republican R+20.9 1,660
17031-9000036 Democratic D+85.5 1,650
17031-7100038 Democratic D+80.7 1,408
17031-7100040 Democratic D+60.3 1,173
17091-KANKAKEE 5 Democratic D+5.6 1,170
17091-LIMESTONE 3 Republican R+39.8 1,132
17031-9000002 Democratic D+85.6 1,110
17197-MONEE PCT 004-STYLE 253 Democratic D+16.8 1,091
17091-KANKAKEE 4 Democratic D+1.7 1,079
17091-PILOT Republican R+43.4 1,076
17031-9000015 Democratic D+90.9 1,053
17197-WASHINGTON PCT 002-STYLE 374 Republican R+23.6 1,044
17197-WASHINGTON PCT 001-STYLE 373 Republican R+21.9 1,018
17031-7100024 Democratic D+64.0 1,017
17031-9000028 Democratic D+87.6 999
17031-7100049 Democratic D+87.7 992
17031-9000047 Democratic D+86.1 990
17091-AROMA 2 Republican R+18.0 980
17197-MONEE PCT 003-STYLE 251 Democratic D+11.5 975

All 475 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Illinois's 2nd Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Illinois's 2nd Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Illinois's 2nd Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Illinois's 2nd Congressional District?
Robin L. Kelly (Democratic) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Illinois's 2nd Congressional District?
D+30.5 — 157,043 Democratic, 83,634 Republican, of 240,784 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.
What is the homicide-rate estimate for Illinois's 2nd Congressional District?
Illinois's 2nd Congressional District has a county-derived estimate of 12.6 homicides per 100,000 residents per year and ranks 35 of 412 districts with publishable coverage, where rank 1 is the highest estimated rate. Reporting-population coverage is 91.6%.

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