electionsmcp › races › Idaho State Senate District 30
Idaho State Senate District 30
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Idaho actually voted.
Model Idaho State Senate District 30 →
Current officeholder
Julie VanOrden Republican
2024 result
Republican R+68.0
2024 votes cast
21,428
Office
State Senate
Precinct results — 2024 general
31 precincts reported in Idaho State Senate District 30's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16011-SHELLEY WEST 21 | Republican | R+82.3 | 1,321 |
| 16011-SHELLEY 14 | Republican | R+72.5 | 1,165 |
| 16011-FIRTH 7 | Republican | R+76.0 | 1,118 |
| 16011-SHELLEY 13 | Republican | R+66.9 | 1,058 |
| 16011-GROVELAND 9 | Republican | R+65.2 | 995 |
| 16011-BLACKFOOT 5 | Republican | R+54.1 | 971 |
| 16011-FIRTH 8 | Republican | R+76.1 | 930 |
| 16011-RIVERSIDE 17 | Republican | R+75.2 | 928 |
| 16011-BLACKFOOT 6 | Republican | R+63.3 | 900 |
| 16011-BLACKFOOT 4 | Republican | R+57.1 | 895 |
| 16011-GROVELAND 22 | Republican | R+79.0 | 876 |
| 16011-BLACKFOOT 2 | Republican | R+62.9 | 809 |
| 16011-JAMESTON 10 | Republican | R+77.7 | 799 |
| 16011-ABERDEEN 15 | Republican | R+59.1 | 758 |
| 16011-Rockford 12 | Republican | R+79.8 | 752 |
| 16011-BLACKFOOT 3 | Republican | R+56.2 | 749 |
| 16011-BLACKFOOT 1 | Republican | R+64.6 | 740 |
| 16011-MORELAND 25 | Republican | R+76.3 | 668 |
| 16011-RIVERSIDE 24 | Republican | R+77.1 | 602 |
| 16011-FORT HALL 20 | Democratic | D+24.1 | 588 |
All 31 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Idaho State Senate District 30 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Idaho State Senate District 30 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Idaho State Senate District 30 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Idaho State Senate District 30?
Julie VanOrden (Republican) currently holds this State Senate seat.
What was the 2024 result in Idaho State Senate District 30?
R+68.0 — 3,432 Democratic, 17,996 Republican, of 21,428 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.