electionsmcp › races › Vermont State House District 4
Vermont State House District 4
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Vermont actually voted.
Model Vermont State House District 4 →
Current officeholder
Thomas Oliver Republican
2024 result
Democratic D+14.9
2024 votes cast
10,222
Office
State House
Precinct results — 2024 general
24 precincts reported in Vermont State House District 4's 2024 general election. The twenty largest:
| Precinct | Winner | Margin | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50023-Montpelier | Democratic | D+75.0 | 10,166 |
| 50011-Swanton | Democratic | D+68.3 | 7,012 |
| 50003-Manchester | Democratic | D+66.3 | 5,706 |
| 50001-Bristol | Democratic | D+9.0 | 4,726 |
| 50007-Hinesburg | Democratic | D+69.1 | 3,124 |
| 50003-Arlington | Democratic | D+62.0 | 3,026 |
| 50001-Monkton | Democratic | D+9.0 | 2,938 |
| 50001-Starksboro | Democratic | D+11.7 | 2,170 |
| 50011-Sheldon | Democratic | D+70.0 | 2,098 |
| 50001-Lincoln | Democratic | D+29.7 | 1,944 |
| 50021-Rutland City | Republican | R+2.2 | 1,522 |
| 50025-Putney | Democratic | D+45.4 | 1,510 |
| 50025-Dummerston | Democratic | D+42.1 | 1,317 |
| 50021-Rutland Town | Republican | R+22.9 | 1,210 |
| 50027-Hartford | Democratic | D+69.2 | 966 |
| 50003-Sunderland | Democratic | D+63.8 | 860 |
| 50019-Craftsbury | Democratic | D+11.1 | 791 |
| 50019-Glover | Republican | R+3.6 | 673 |
| 50027-Barnard | Democratic | D+77.2 | 663 |
| 50027-Pomfret | Democratic | D+76.0 | 658 |
All 24 precincts are modelable — open the race in the simulator and drill to precinct grain.
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Vermont State House District 4 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Vermont State House District 4 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open Vermont State House District 4 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents Vermont State House District 4?
Thomas Oliver (Republican) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Vermont State House District 4?
D+14.9 — 5,871 Democratic, 4,349 Republican, of 10,222 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.