Scenario · Democratic primary · White House 2028
United States President 2028 Democratic Primary: Newsom vs Ocasio-Cortez
Model desk
Published 2026-06-16 · electionsmcp.com
Newsom leads the Democratic presidential primary with 928 of 1990 delegates needed to win — 51 of 51 contests counted (full calendar).
Democratic Primary 2028 · 1990 to clinch
928
Newsom leads
46.6% of the way to the nomination
51/51 contests · 1691 delegates allocated · full calendar
How this scenario was built
Method
Proportional allocation through Super Tuesday.
Build your own scenario from this one
Use this scenario as a starting point, change the assumptions, and preserve your own version.
Open this scenario →