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Scenario · Democratic primary · White House 2028

United States President 2028 Democratic Primary: Gavin Newsom vs Gretchen Whitmer

Platform Audit
Published 2026-07-08 · electionsmcp.com

Gavin Newsom leads the Democratic presidential primary with 140 of 1990 delegates needed to win — 5 of 51 contests counted (through Michigan).

FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA SC SD TN TX UT VA WA WV WI WY AL AK AZ AR CA CO DEM PRIMARY 2028 Gavin Newsom 140 / 1990 to clinch through Michigan DELEGATE COUNT Gavin Newsom 140 Gretchen Whitmer 94 Pete Buttigieg 89 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 26 Josh Shapiro 0 JB Pritzker 0 Wes Moore 0 Andy Beshear 0 electionsmcp.com · Platform Audit 2028 · 5/51 contests
Democratic Primary 2028 · 1990 to clinch
140 Gavin Newsom leads
7.0% of the way to the nomination
Gavin Newsom
140
Gretchen Whitmer
94
Pete Buttigieg
89
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
26
Josh Shapiro
0
JB Pritzker
0
Wes Moore
0
Andy Beshear
0
Ro Khanna
0
Raphael Warnock
0
Mark Kelly
0
Jared Polis
0
Gina Raimondo
0
Chris Murphy
0
Elissa Slotkin
0
Tim Walz
0
5/51 contests · 349 delegates allocated · through Michigan

How this scenario was built

2024 certified precinct baseline with a uniform 3pp national swing toward Democrats, applied at the county layer and rolled up to all levels.

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